Contents

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Updated regularly - Last update on 11-May-2012 
 
Return on Exxon Mobil (xom) stock follows ARMA(4,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Exxon Mobil stock close price of 83.10 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '83.13'     '83.01'      '82.88'      '82.87'  

Probability of Exxon Mobil stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '51.02%'    '47.44%'     '47.78%'     '49.86%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Exxon Mobil stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $31.76 in 1 day, $173.93 in 30 days and $301.26 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Exxon Mobil (xom) stock 
 
Exxon Mobil stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years' 
    '0.0843%'    '8.7127%'     '5.1100%'    '28.3001%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Exxon Mobil stock over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '0.0534%'    '0.0420%'     '0.0193%'    '0.0309%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Exxon Mobil stock close price of 66.80 was observed on 10-Aug-2011 
The maximum Exxon Mobil stock close price of 86.74 was observed on 24-Feb-2012 
Current close price of Exxon Mobil (83.10) as a percent of range is equal to 81.75% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Exxon Mobil stock) 
 of -6.38% was observed on 08-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Exxon Mobil stock) 
 of 5.08% was observed on 11-Aug-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Exxon Mobil share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Exxon Mobil stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Exxon Mobil shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Exxon Mobil share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Exxon Mobil stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Exxon Mobil stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Exxon Mobil equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Exxon Mobil share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Exxon Mobil stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Exxon Mobil price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Exxon Mobil (xom) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Exxon Mobil stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '64.85%'     '84.30%'      '90.82%'    '84.02%' 

Percent of time when return on Exxon Mobil stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '54.55%'     '48.82%'      '52.57%'    '48.35%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Exxon Mobil (xom) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Exxon Mobil stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '16.53%'     '34.29%'      '-0.33%'    '11.97%' 

Percent of time when return on Exxon Mobil stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '55.91%'      '52.17%'    '47.82%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Exxon Mobil (xom) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Exxon Mobil stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '21.77%'     '44.62%'      '22.61%'    '31.41%' 

Percent of time when return on Exxon Mobil stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '72.73%'     '54.33%'      '49.80%'    '46.24%' 

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

About FreeStockResearch

Time to sell Exxon Mobil stock? Want to purchase Exxon Mobil stock? 
Need to buy Exxon Mobil stock? Ready to get rid of Exxon Mobil stock? 
Check FREE Technical Report for Exxon Mobil (ticker: xom) stock and decide 
 
We are not trying to sell any stocks. We are not affiliated with any company.
This is why You can always rely on our independent stock research.
Our tools are developed to help You maximize Your return on investment.
Simple and intuitive technical stock reports for You!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright 2011. FreeStockResearch. All rights reserved.

Published with MATLAB® 7.13