Technical Analysis of America Stocks

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Intuitive and Independent Stock Research

Time to sell Urban Outfitters stock? Want to purchase Urban Outfitters stock? 
Need to buy Urban Outfitters stock? Ready to get rid of Urban Outfitters stock? 
 
Check FREE Technical Report for Urban Outfitters (ticker: urbn) stock and decide 
Updated regularly - Last update on 25-Apr-2012 
NEW features added constantly

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Return on Urban Outfitters (urbn) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Urban Outfitters stock close price of 28.34 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '28.38'     '28.41'      '28.40'      '28.41'  

Probability of Urban Outfitters stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '51.38%'    '50.78%'     '49.78%'     '50.23%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Urban Outfitters stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $51.18 in 1 day, $280.33 in 30 days and $485.54 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Urban Outfitters (urbn) stock 
 
Urban Outfitters stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'       '3 years' 
    '-3.8996%'    '7.4706%'     '-13.2006%'    '70.9288%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Urban Outfitters stock over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years'
    '-0.1623%'    '0.0965%'     '-0.0468%'    '0.0678%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Urban Outfitters stock close price of 21.90 was observed on 03-Oct-2011 
The maximum Urban Outfitters stock close price of 33.59 was observed on 26-Jul-2011 
Current close price of Urban Outfitters (28.34) as a percent of range is equal to 55.09% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Urban Outfitters stock) 
 of -20.62% was observed on 11-Jan-2012 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Urban Outfitters stock) 
 of 6.14% was observed on 27-Oct-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Urban Outfitters share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Urban Outfitters stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Urban Outfitters shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Urban Outfitters share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Urban Outfitters stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Urban Outfitters stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Urban Outfitters equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Urban Outfitters share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Urban Outfitters stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Urban Outfitters price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Urban Outfitters (urbn) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Urban Outfitters stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '58.97%'     '32.92%'      '49.01%'    '48.02%' 

Percent of time when return on Urban Outfitters stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '40.91%'     '48.82%'      '48.62%'    '48.88%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Urban Outfitters (urbn) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Urban Outfitters stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '-22.59%'    '12.09%'      '4.01%'     '8.08%'  

Percent of time when return on Urban Outfitters stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '40.91%'     '48.82%'      '47.43%'    '47.95%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Urban Outfitters (urbn) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Urban Outfitters stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '24.36%'     '18.51%'      '13.75%'    '18.51%' 

Percent of time when return on Urban Outfitters stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '36.36%'     '51.97%'      '50.59%'    '48.75%' 

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