Technical Analysis of America Stocks

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Intuitive and Independent Stock Research

Time to sell United Parcel Service stock? Want to purchase United Parcel Service stock? 
Need to buy United Parcel Service stock? Ready to get rid of United Parcel Service stock? 
 
Check FREE Technical Report for United Parcel Service (ticker: ups) stock and decide 
Updated regularly - Last update on 25-Apr-2012 
NEW features added constantly

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Return on United Parcel Service (ups) stock follows ARMA(1,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current United Parcel Service stock close price of 79.65 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '79.79'     '79.87'      '79.83'      '79.88'  

Probability of United Parcel Service stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '54.34%'    '51.54%'     '49.32%'     '50.76%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of United Parcel Service stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $28.50 in 1 day, $156.07 in 30 days and $270.33 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for United Parcel Service (ups) stock 
 
United Parcel Service stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years' 
    '-1.1419%'    '14.0627%'    '10.4409%'    '70.3379%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for United Parcel Service stock over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '-0.0034%'    '0.1127%'     '0.0428%'    '0.0651%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum United Parcel Service stock close price of 60.59 was observed on 10-Aug-2011 
The maximum United Parcel Service stock close price of 81.11 was observed on 19-Mar-2012 
Current close price of United Parcel Service (79.65) as a percent of range is equal to 92.88% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for United Parcel Service stock) 
 of -5.13% was observed on 08-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for United Parcel Service stock) 
 of 4.77% was observed on 30-Nov-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of United Parcel Service share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy United Parcel Service stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell United Parcel Service shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of United Parcel Service share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of United Parcel Service stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of United Parcel Service stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

United Parcel Service equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
United Parcel Service share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for United Parcel Service stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether United Parcel Service price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does United Parcel Service (ups) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on United Parcel Service stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '78.08%'     '84.92%'      '87.46%'    '78.80%' 

Percent of time when return on United Parcel Service stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '45.45%'     '48.03%'      '48.62%'    '46.50%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does United Parcel Service (ups) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on United Parcel Service stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '16.34%'     '33.47%'      '3.17%'     '9.22%'  

Percent of time when return on United Parcel Service stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '52.76%'      '50.20%'    '49.41%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does United Parcel Service (ups) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on United Parcel Service stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '41.60%'     '48.01%'      '21.08%'    '23.99%' 

Percent of time when return on United Parcel Service stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '55.12%'      '49.80%'    '47.69%' 

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