Technical Analysis of America Stocks

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Intuitive and Independent Stock Research

Time to sell Constellation Brands stock? Want to purchase Constellation Brands stock? 
Need to buy Constellation Brands stock? Ready to get rid of Constellation Brands stock? 
 
Check FREE Technical Report for Constellation Brands (ticker: stz) stock and decide 
Updated regularly - Last update on 25-Apr-2012 
NEW features added constantly

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Return on Constellation Brands (stz) stock follows ARMA(2,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Constellation Brands stock close price of 21.76 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '21.72'     '21.73'      '21.75'      '21.76'  

Probability of Constellation Brands stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '47.14%'    '50.48%'     '50.67%'     '50.36%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Constellation Brands stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $34.97 in 1 day, $191.53 in 30 days and $331.73 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Constellation Brands (stz) stock 
 
Constellation Brands stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years' 
    '-8.4945%'    '9.1274%'     '-3.5461%'    '98.3592%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Constellation Brands stock over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years'
    '-0.3555%'    '0.0605%'     '-0.0074%'    '0.0895%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Constellation Brands stock close price of 16.63 was observed on 08-Aug-2011 
The maximum Constellation Brands stock close price of 24.69 was observed on 04-Apr-2012 
Current close price of Constellation Brands (21.76) as a percent of range is equal to 63.65% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Constellation Brands stock) 
 of -13.32% was observed on 05-Apr-2012 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Constellation Brands stock) 
 of 8.86% was observed on 09-Aug-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Constellation Brands share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Constellation Brands stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Constellation Brands shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Constellation Brands share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Constellation Brands stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Constellation Brands stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Constellation Brands equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Constellation Brands share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Constellation Brands stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Constellation Brands price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Constellation Brands (stz) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Constellation Brands stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '15.46%'     '51.36%'      '68.60%'    '63.14%' 

Percent of time when return on Constellation Brands stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '51.97%'      '47.83%'    '49.27%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Constellation Brands (stz) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Constellation Brands stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '-30.34%'    '17.43%'      '-1.40%'    '9.40%'  

Percent of time when return on Constellation Brands stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '51.97%'      '46.25%'    '48.88%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Constellation Brands (stz) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Constellation Brands stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '-22.53%'    '23.15%'      '13.19%'    '21.85%' 

Percent of time when return on Constellation Brands stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '56.69%'      '50.59%'    '48.35%' 

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