Technical Analysis of America Stocks

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Intuitive and Independent Stock Research

Time to sell Smucker (J.M.) stock? Want to purchase Smucker (J.M.) stock? 
Need to buy Smucker (J.M.) stock? Ready to get rid of Smucker (J.M.) stock? 
 
Check FREE Technical Report for Smucker (J.M.) (ticker: sjm) stock and decide 
Updated regularly - Last update on 25-Apr-2012 
NEW features added constantly

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Return on Smucker (J.M.) (sjm) stock follows ARMA(3,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Smucker (J.M.) stock close price of 78.73 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '78.93'     '78.95'      '78.80'      '78.94'  

Probability of Smucker (J.M.) stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '56.63%'    '50.43%'     '47.42%'     '52.14%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Smucker (J.M.) stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $25.94 in 1 day, $142.08 in 30 days and $246.10 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Smucker (J.M.) (sjm) stock 
 
Smucker (J.M.) stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'  
    '-1.8207%'    '3.4424%'     '8.5781%'    '124.5579%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Smucker (J.M.) stock over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '-0.0727%'    '0.0320%'     '0.0398%'    '0.1057%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Smucker (J.M.) stock close price of 66.86 was observed on 25-Aug-2011 
The maximum Smucker (J.M.) stock close price of 81.44 was observed on 02-Apr-2012 
Current close price of Smucker (J.M.) (78.73) as a percent of range is equal to 81.41% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Smucker (J.M.) stock) 
 of -8.75% was observed on 16-Feb-2012 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Smucker (J.M.) stock) 
 of 3.33% was observed on 18-Nov-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Smucker (J.M.) share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Smucker (J.M.) stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Smucker (J.M.) shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Smucker (J.M.) share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Smucker (J.M.) stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Smucker (J.M.) stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Smucker (J.M.) equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Smucker (J.M.) share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Smucker (J.M.) stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Smucker (J.M.) price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Smucker (J.M.) (sjm) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Smucker (J.M.) stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '42.81%'     '39.86%'      '59.27%'    '53.40%' 

Percent of time when return on Smucker (J.M.) stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '52.76%'      '51.38%'    '50.99%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Smucker (J.M.) (sjm) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Smucker (J.M.) stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '-3.35%'     '12.94%'      '-5.11%'    '4.98%'  

Percent of time when return on Smucker (J.M.) stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '54.33%'      '51.38%'    '49.80%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Smucker (J.M.) (sjm) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Smucker (J.M.) stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '26.05%'     '20.54%'      '9.02%'     '14.52%' 

Percent of time when return on Smucker (J.M.) stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '54.33%'      '51.38%'    '46.50%' 

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