Contents

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Updated regularly - Last update on 11-May-2012 
 
Return on Pfizer (pfe) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Pfizer stock close price of 22.65 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '22.60'     '22.55'      '22.52'      '22.50'  

Probability of Pfizer stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '44.31%'    '46.00%'     '48.44%'     '48.71%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Pfizer stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $28.12 in 1 day, $154.04 in 30 days and $266.80 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Pfizer (pfe) stock 
 
Pfizer stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years' 
    '4.3779%'    '19.5251%'    '13.0240%'    '67.6536%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Pfizer stock over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '0.1885%'    '0.1107%'     '0.0536%'    '0.0712%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Pfizer stock close price of 16.16 was observed on 08-Aug-2011 
The maximum Pfizer stock close price of 22.85 was observed on 27-Apr-2012 
Current close price of Pfizer (22.65) as a percent of range is equal to 97.01% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Pfizer stock) 
 of -4.89% was observed on 08-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Pfizer stock) 
 of 5.54% was observed on 09-Aug-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Pfizer share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Pfizer stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Pfizer shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Pfizer share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Pfizer stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Pfizer stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Pfizer equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Pfizer share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Pfizer stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Pfizer price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Pfizer (pfe) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Pfizer stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.77%'     '70.95%'      '82.16%'    '69.46%' 

Percent of time when return on Pfizer stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '52.76%'      '51.38%'    '48.75%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Pfizer (pfe) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Pfizer stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '21.52%'     '28.51%'      '-2.04%'    '9.27%'  

Percent of time when return on Pfizer stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '54.55%'     '53.54%'      '51.38%'    '50.59%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Pfizer (pfe) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Pfizer stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '34.47%'     '36.75%'      '12.91%'    '19.49%' 

Percent of time when return on Pfizer stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '68.18%'     '55.12%'      '50.59%'    '48.22%' 

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