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America Stocks

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Updated regularly - Last update on 11-May-2012 
 
Return on Coca-Cola (ko) stock follows ARMA(4,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Coca-Cola stock close price of 77.47 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '77.55'     '77.54'      '77.84'      '77.89'  

Probability of Coca-Cola stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '53.66%'    '49.84%'     '57.38%'     '51.04%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Coca-Cola stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $22.90 in 1 day, $125.42 in 30 days and $217.24 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Coca-Cola (ko) stock 
 
Coca-Cola stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years' 
    '7.2695%'    '17.2722%'    '16.6893%'    '94.4040%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Coca-Cola stock over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '0.3253%'    '0.1066%'     '0.0668%'    '0.0855%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Coca-Cola stock close price of 62.61 was observed on 10-Aug-2011 
The maximum Coca-Cola stock close price of 77.47 was observed on 11-May-2012 
Current close price of Coca-Cola (77.47) as a percent of range is equal to 100.00% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Coca-Cola stock) 
 of -4.16% was observed on 10-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Coca-Cola stock) 
 of 3.85% was observed on 11-Aug-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Coca-Cola share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Coca-Cola stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Coca-Cola shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Coca-Cola share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Coca-Cola stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Coca-Cola stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Coca-Cola equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Coca-Cola share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Coca-Cola stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Coca-Cola price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Coca-Cola (ko) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Coca-Cola stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '88.10%'     '64.11%'      '81.27%'    '68.44%' 

Percent of time when return on Coca-Cola stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '86.36%'     '55.91%'      '52.57%'    '50.46%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Coca-Cola (ko) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Coca-Cola stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '35.12%'     '21.68%'      '-2.11%'    '7.56%'  

Percent of time when return on Coca-Cola stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '77.27%'     '55.91%'      '50.99%'    '49.93%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Coca-Cola (ko) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Coca-Cola stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '57.07%'     '32.78%'      '15.98%'    '19.78%' 

Percent of time when return on Coca-Cola stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '81.82%'     '55.12%'      '50.59%'    '47.69%' 

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