ESSAR ENERGY Stock Report (essr.l)
FreeStockResearch
Contents
Intuitive and Independent Stock Research
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Updated regularly - Last update on 24-Apr-2012
NEW features added constantly
Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume
Return on ESSAR ENERGY (essr.l) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current ESSAR ENERGY stock close price of 127.20 the forecast for the next:
'1 week' '2 weeks' '3 weeks' '4 weeks'
'127.43' '127.46' '127.55' '127.72'
Probability of ESSAR ENERGY stock close price to increase in the next:
'1 week' '2 weeks' '3 weeks' '4 weeks'
'50.71%' '50.06%' '50.17%' '50.26%'
Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of ESSAR ENERGY stock at 5 percent probability:
Lose at most $55.58 in 1 day, $304.40 in 30 days and $527.24 in 90 days
