Contents

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Updated regularly - Last update on 11-May-2012 
 
Return on Walt Disney (dis) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Walt Disney stock close price of 45.56 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '45.51'     '45.49'      '45.51'      '45.51'  

Probability of Walt Disney stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '48.11%'    '49.68%'     '50.30%'     '49.95%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Walt Disney stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $35.27 in 1 day, $193.17 in 30 days and $334.58 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Walt Disney (dis) stock 
 
Walt Disney stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years'  
    '8.0902%'    '37.1050%'    '11.4209%'    '100.7048%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Walt Disney stock over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '0.4385%'    '0.2142%'     '0.0433%'    '0.0881%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Walt Disney stock close price of 28.52 was observed on 03-Oct-2011 
The maximum Walt Disney stock close price of 45.56 was observed on 11-May-2012 
Current close price of Walt Disney (45.56) as a percent of range is equal to 100.00% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Walt Disney stock) 
 of -9.55% was observed on 10-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Walt Disney stock) 
 of 5.76% was observed on 11-Nov-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Walt Disney share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Walt Disney stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Walt Disney shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Walt Disney share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Walt Disney stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Walt Disney stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Walt Disney equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Walt Disney share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Walt Disney stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Walt Disney price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Walt Disney (dis) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Walt Disney stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.16%'     '80.91%'      '87.20%'    '80.79%' 

Percent of time when return on Walt Disney stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '59.09%'     '57.48%'      '50.99%'    '49.01%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Walt Disney (dis) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Walt Disney stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '-9.84%'     '29.83%'      '2.93%'     '7.64%'  

Percent of time when return on Walt Disney stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '63.64%'     '57.48%'      '49.80%'    '49.41%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Walt Disney (dis) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Walt Disney stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '17.89%'     '37.06%'      '20.89%'    '23.09%' 

Percent of time when return on Walt Disney stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '77.27%'     '54.33%'      '49.41%'    '47.56%' 

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