CARNIVAL Stock Report (ccl.l)
Contents
- Intuitive and Independent Stock Research
- Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume
- Stock price, return, high and low
- Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD
- Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum
- Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility
- Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume
- Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index
- Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)
- Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)
Intuitive and Independent Stock Research
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Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume
Return on CARNIVAL (ccl.l) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current CARNIVAL stock close price of 1983.00 the forecast for the next:
'1 week' '2 weeks' '3 weeks' '4 weeks'
'1982.48' '1983.61' '1980.09' '1981.46'
Probability of CARNIVAL stock close price to increase in the next:
'1 week' '2 weeks' '3 weeks' '4 weeks'
'49.62%' '50.58%' '48.52%' '50.49%'
Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of CARNIVAL stock at 5 percent probability:
Lose at most $40.82 in 1 day, $223.57 in 30 days and $387.23 in 90 days
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Stock price, return, high and low
Price fundamentals for CARNIVAL (ccl.l) stock
CARNIVAL stock price change in percent over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'-0.8004%' '-10.3121%' '-23.7308%' '4.8275%'
Average daily return (continuously compounded) for CARNIVAL stock over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'-0.0524%' '-0.0666%' '-0.0994%' '0.0036%'
OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum CARNIVAL stock close price of 1742.00 was observed on 19-Aug-2011
The maximum CARNIVAL stock close price of 2642.00 was observed on 12-May-2011
Current close price of CARNIVAL (1983.00) as a percent of range is equal to 26.78%
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for CARNIVAL stock)
of -17.98% was observed on 16-Jan-2012
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for CARNIVAL stock)
of 6.43% was observed on 30-Aug-2011
Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD
RSI readings of CARNIVAL share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral. Buy CARNIVAL stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line. Sell CARNIVAL shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.
Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum
The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high, low, opening, and closing prices of CARNIVAL share for each tradind day. Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.
Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility
This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential, moving average of the A/D line of CARNIVAL stock from the three-period exponential moving average of the A/D line. Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving average and 10-day difference of CARNIVAL stock.
Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume
CARNIVAL equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80. CARNIVAL share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. On-Balance Volume for CARNIVAL stock adds or subtracts volume to a total depending on whether CARNIVAL price moves up or down.
Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index
Does CARNIVAL (ccl.l) stock go together with Dow Jones Index?
Correlation between return on CARNIVAL stock and Dow Jones Index over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'57.33%' '17.03%' '47.50%' '33.89%'
Percent of time when return on CARNIVAL stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index
over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'54.55%' '49.61%' '45.06%' '46.37%'
Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)
Does CARNIVAL (ccl.l) stock go together with GOLD ETF?
Correlation between return on CARNIVAL stock and GOLD ETF over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'-1.30%' '4.78%' '-5.56%' '2.81%'
Percent of time when return on CARNIVAL stock was higher than on GOLD ETF
over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'54.55%' '51.18%' '45.45%' '47.69%'
Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)
Does CARNIVAL (ccl.l) stock go together with Physical Silver?
Correlation between return on CARNIVAL stock and Physical Silver over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'30.55%' '8.14%' '5.10%' '8.82%'
Percent of time when return on CARNIVAL stock was higher than on Physical Silver
over the last:
'30 days' '6 months' '1 year' '3 years'
'59.09%' '55.12%' '49.01%' '47.56%'
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