AVIVA Stock Report (av.l)

FreeStockResearch

Contents

Intuitive and Independent Stock Research

Time to sell AVIVA stock? Want to purchase AVIVA stock? 
Need to buy AVIVA stock? Ready to get rid of AVIVA stock? 
 
Check FREE Technical Report for AVIVA (ticker: av.l) stock and decide 
Updated regularly - Last update on 04-May-2012 
NEW features added constantly

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Return on AVIVA (av.l) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current AVIVA stock close price of 302.30 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '302.67'    '302.01'     '301.84'     '301.92' 

Probability of AVIVA stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '51.22%'    '48.47%'     '49.70%'     '50.12%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of AVIVA stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $58.32 in 1 day, $319.42 in 30 days and $553.25 in 90 days

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Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for AVIVA (av.l) stock 
 
AVIVA stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'       '3 years' 
    '-7.9196%'    '-7.0132%'    '-31.8377%'    '-2.6973%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for AVIVA stock over the last: 
    '30 days'     '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years' 
    '-0.4410%'    '-0.0406%'    '-0.1493%'    '-0.0078%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum AVIVA stock close price of 275.30 was observed on 04-Oct-2011 
The maximum AVIVA stock close price of 449.10 was observed on 11-May-2011 
Current close price of AVIVA (302.30) as a percent of range is equal to 15.54% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for AVIVA stock) 
 of -8.28% was observed on 18-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for AVIVA stock) 
 of 8.47% was observed on 27-Oct-2011 

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Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of AVIVA share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy AVIVA stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell AVIVA shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

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Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of AVIVA share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

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Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of AVIVA stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of AVIVA stock.

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Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

AVIVA equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
AVIVA share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for AVIVA stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether AVIVA price moves up or down.

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Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does AVIVA (av.l) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on AVIVA stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '62.08%'     '34.02%'      '54.87%'    '32.57%' 

Percent of time when return on AVIVA stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '45.45%'     '47.24%'      '47.04%'    '48.61%' 

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Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does AVIVA (av.l) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on AVIVA stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '-14.83%'    '12.22%'      '3.36%'     '6.56%'  

Percent of time when return on AVIVA stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '40.91%'     '48.82%'      '47.83%'    '49.41%' 

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Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does AVIVA (av.l) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on AVIVA stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '7.98%'      '19.56%'      '18.44%'    '15.98%' 

Percent of time when return on AVIVA stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '54.55%'     '54.33%'      '47.83%'    '49.01%' 

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